Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.628181 4.267334 5.008309 5.936191 7.074505 8.434981 10.198370
2025-01-05 2.630207 3.403523 4.409276 5.834917 7.839395 10.612191 14.836731
2025-01-12 2.195314 3.021697 4.180815 5.968060 8.733455 12.988808 20.321313
2025-01-19 1.841495 2.654196 3.861026 5.846779 9.161333 14.723967 25.357226
2025-01-26 1.698664 2.556392 3.900764 6.256092 10.492944 18.255920 34.795075
2025-02-02 1.556340 2.429374 3.862310 6.513548 11.609942 21.723332 45.577085
2025-02-09 1.448082 2.336679 3.858073 6.819573 12.882074 25.880275 59.819566
2025-02-16 1.327222 2.202702 3.756624 6.917287 13.755894 29.473852 74.563968
2025-02-23 1.229493 2.094335 3.681825 7.047596 14.727372 33.621387 93.205855
2025-03-02 1.122131 1.953689 3.524013 6.973557 15.215311 36.746564 110.732839
2025-03-09 1.051102 1.871441 3.466507 7.102154 16.220916 41.629983 137.610344
2025-03-16 0.969071 1.757913 3.329797 7.026466 16.693128 45.189351 162.368491
2025-03-23 0.891272 1.655075 3.224815 7.066529 17.668280 51.324026 206.584782
2025-03-30 0.807251 1.531605 3.063354 6.954280 18.254339 56.793692 256.276308
2025-04-06 0.755011 1.465894 3.016162 7.117510 19.722471 66.350936 342.668101
2025-04-13 0.688827 1.361482 2.863983 6.968228 20.165563 72.330008 418.924710
2025-04-20 0.669429 1.356130 2.941903 7.472645 23.011549 90.665807 625.620406
2025-04-27 0.640523 1.325364 2.953089 7.790589 25.364075 108.962188 890.464097
2025-05-04 0.616680 1.302899 2.981078 8.169158 28.152521 132.422779 1303.783685
2025-05-11 0.583144 1.253234 2.930867 8.290178 29.979165 152.573746 1780.175911
2025-05-18 0.554330 1.211407 2.894956 8.451675 32.090469 177.217126 2486.687615
2025-05-25 0.518588 1.148367 2.791850 8.359901 33.024595 195.170506 3214.673862
2025-06-01 0.494994 1.113111 2.761146 8.519326 35.288601 226.587640 4583.931592